The latest ECMWF 46-day outlook has become available, taking us through the Christmas period and well into the New Year. Here's what it says. Winter retuning? You decide! 15th December to 22nd December A cool week, varying temperatures with ridge to west and trough to east. More unsettled than of late. Wintry showers Friday, mostly

Thought you might like the latest output from Peitoo Peng's forecasting methods. Peitoo uses Hoog Van Dan Dool's former analogue methods to produce long range forecasts, and these have proved good for guidance. Here's the forecast 200mb flow as per the latest issue of the forecasts. It shows the period from March through