More evidence of the potential for cold weather ahead. The Stratospheric Warming I spoke on in yesterdays Look Ahead video is being picked up by the models as they want to bring an easterly into the UK and Ireland late next week and into the weekend. The NAO and AO are doing their

We're already looking towards mid-March in the ECMWF 46-day forecast; where has the year gone? The ECMWF operational has been struggling in the past few weeks and indeed for much of the winter. It's 46-day ensemble counterpart has performed better in my opinion, and here's what it says right now. 7th February

  Take a look at the sea temperatures west of the UK. Notice the yellow colours? That means that sea temperatures are above average for the time of year. In fact, they turn orange in mid Atlantic indicating warmer water here too. South of Greenland the area of cooler water which has