It's been while since we looked at the ENSO and considered implications for the spring and summer. However, as the extreme cold wafts away, and milder weather looks set to return for a time at least (even if below average temperatures affect many of us), I thought it time that we

Phew! It is starting to feel like business as usual after the 'Beast From The East'. Isn't it amazing how quickly temperatures have risen and the snow has disappeared (yes, I know there is still a fair bit around in northern England and Scotland). But let's now hope that spring can finally

The latest MJO forecast is spiralling into oblivion, always a sure sign that modelling is seeing a pattern change taking place. The forecast below shows that from around 14th March the MJO becomes very week and that allows the pattern change to take place.   Phase 3 (below) shows the increased heights and