First things first. Remember this is the MJO from the CFS only. That means a single model. But look at how in the coming months it bounces between negative and positive territory. That slip into negative early and mid December is a bit of a flag waver to me; as discussed in

Sometimes it's good to just ponder; to sit back and think. Unfortunately it's not often these days that we get chance to do that. But pondering is good to do sometimes when forecasting as it can clear out some of the clutter which can dominate your thoughts when trying to work