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Consistently Wet and Windy

A consistent signal for a spell of wet and windy weather moving across Ireland and the British Isles during Friday into Friday night. Rain may reach the west of Ireland before the morning is out and spreads east gradually, arriving in Eastern Britain during Friday evening. Ahead of and with

ECMWF 46-day outlook to late-December

The ECMWF 46-day forecast has been issued into the later stages of December. There's a change in the forecast with higher pressure to the north of the UK now seen as not being such a dominating feature, but a definite build in pressure into December to the east. It's similar to the

NAO and AO signalling a polar winter plunge?

  I highlighted in Monday's Look Ahead video how the CFS was predicting a less strong westerly flow across the Atlantic this winter and how things slipped into more negative territory the further into winter we got. Well here is that graph again. Notice howIt bounces around between negative and positive territory

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