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Warm October so far, but all changing

I was taking a look back at temperatures in October, basically because as I cycled yesterday I noticed just how nippy it has now started to feel. Yes, I know it's what we should expect given late October but as the first warm days of spring, the first proper cold

ECMWF 46-day into early December

Can it be that time already? Yes, we are really now looking at forecasts heading into early December! Best get thinking about the Christmas presents then, but before that lets see what the weather holds in store for November as far as the ECMWF 6-week forecast is concerned. Here are the latest

Dealing With Uncertainty

Access to forecast weather information has never been easier with a whole range of forecasts, sometimes very detailed, available to anyone who wishes to use them. Almost invariably the forecasts that we see online are automated forecasts obtain directly from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models; these have not been calibrated

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