I know many of you are getting rather desperate for some rainfall. This weekend may provide some relief and we are starting to be able to firm up on the details now. Here's the latest prediction from the GFS (fairly representative of other models too). Rainfall for Friday focus mainly east Ireland

The latest 46-day forecast has been released by the ECMWF and it seems to be back to supporting our analogue ideas. Here's what it says ... 6th to 12th October Strong ridge to east of the UK. Trough to the west. Pressure falling though (see graph below). Broad southwest flow affecting all parts of the UK

Take a look at the 8-day forecast temperature graphs for the rest of this week and through the weekend. There'll also be a stiff breeze and so a significant wind-chill is likely too. The graphs show the cold air slipping south....here's Aberdeen ... And now here's London ...     The 500mb forecast for Saturday shows