The MJO becomes more active over the coming weeks as it slips through phases 7 and 8 and then into 1 and 2. Generally this keeps us in a cold pattern, and it continues to point to cooler weather at the end of the month and into February. As we have been

I raised a smile when I saw the latest output from the ECMWF for the next 6-weeks. The forecast was on track with out month ahead and the guidance being give by our analoges. However, I'm not getting cocky about this. I know only too well how the forecast from models