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October 2021 – Preliminary Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ OCTOBER 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 22nd September 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A mixed month + Brief drier spells + Temperatures and rainfall near average FACTORS AFFECTING OCTOBER 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ===================================================== + Troughs developing over

Uncertainty in the models continues

In yesterdays Look Ahead video I explained the difficulties models are having in predicting conditions over the coming weeks. It's always hard to point to exactly why the problem is occurring, and almost as impossible to put the issue into numbers. However, one good graph to look at is the verification of

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