The ECMWF 6-week outlook has just been published, now taking us into the later stages of November. It makes for typically autumnal reading with wind, rain and frosts in the forecast. The details are below... 16th October to 22nd October Strong southwest flow develops (see chart below). Lower than average heights to north. Risk of gales. Becoming

Something we've not looked at for a while is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the Arctic Oscillation (AO) indices. Each prove really very useful when forecasting the weather for the winter months. Here's the NAO forecast from the CFS. Red is what has happened, the grey shading is what is forecast