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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to early April

We are now within touching distance of meteorological spring which begins on 1st March. The latest guidance from the ECMWF takes us to the early stages of April. Here's the latest ... 26th February to 4th March Ridge of high pressure to the south and east of the country this week (see chart). Dry weather

Interesting MJO signals for colder mid-March

The MJO is showing some interesting developments towards the middle of March. Notice Phase 1 which we are in for the next week, which is characterised by a strong jet stream over the British Isles. We then slip into Phase 5 from around 8th March, and this phase is shown to bring