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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to late July

June is ending rapidly and July is just around the corner. By the time the latest forecast from the ECMWF 6-Week model is finished we will be heading into late summer. But will we have had any summer? Here's the latest from the ECMWF 6-week... 18th June to 24th June Jet stream northern UK. Trough over all

Summer forecast update from analogues

Looking back at previous years with a similar pressure pattern we can use analogous techniques to produce guidance for the coming seasons. Peitao Peng at NOAA regularly produces such forecasts, and it's always interesting to see what his techniques produce. It's a method of forecast to which some are skeptical, but in

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