The updated 6-week ECMWF outlook is available. I did look at this as it was arriving in yesterdays Look Ahead but now here's some more detail. There is lots of uncertainty in the guidance form mid-month, so please do take this into account when reading the below. 29th August to 4th September Ridge of

The US CFS model's North Atlantic Oscillation forecast through to late November is hinting at a stronger westerly flow in mid-September, coinciding with other models hinting at lower pressure and wetter conditions around that time. The chart below shows the brief peak in the NAO around 18th September, but notice how