Month: January 2023
Stats from the month so far
Like in December, January has seen another cold northerly stint, so the lowest monthly temperatures recorded are pretty low, particularly so for southern areas. See below the recorded lowest overnight minimums taken from Reading University from the Meteorological department. Then to contrast the highest monthly temperatures (daytime maximums) are to
Video: Fast Forecast – Thursday to Monday
Video: Wednesday’s Look Ahead – a change in the conditions further south
Video: 2 Week Planner (25/01/23)
ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to early March
We must have almost broken winter as the ECMWF 6-Week model is now extending into early March. I'm reasonably confident with the guidance it's giving, although I have my suspicions that the later stages of the forecast below may be a cooler than suggested. This is what the latest guidance is suggesting
Video: Fast Forecast – Wednesday to Sunday
Strato-warming – little impact now, but something mid-February?
The stratospheric warming event continues with the horse-shoe shape clearly visible through rope, Asia and Northern America. Closer to the UK and Ireland it's cooler at high levels (see below). However, that warming may have implications for us heading into mid to late February and perhaps early March. As the stratosphere expands due








