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Stats from the month so far

Like in December, January has seen another cold northerly stint, so the lowest monthly temperatures recorded are pretty low, particularly so for southern areas. See below the recorded lowest overnight minimums taken from Reading University from the Meteorological department. Then to contrast the highest monthly temperatures (daytime maximums) are to

ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to early March

We must have almost broken winter as the ECMWF 6-Week model is now extending into early March. I'm reasonably confident with the guidance it's giving, although I have my suspicions that the later stages of the forecast below may be a cooler than suggested. This is what the latest guidance is suggesting

Strato-warming – little impact now, but something mid-February?

The stratospheric warming event continues with the horse-shoe shape clearly visible through rope, Asia and Northern America. Closer to the UK and Ireland it's cooler at high levels (see below). However, that warming may have implications for us heading into mid to late February and perhaps early March. As the stratosphere expands due

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