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Looking ahead using the GFS ensemble and MJO

Looking ahead through the next 31 days or so we are getting a bit of a pattern with the models. The below chart shows the current GFS ensemble model with a more or less gradual incline in the air temperatures and soil temperatures. From the very beginning of June there

More on wetter weather thoughts

I mentioned yesterday about the risk of some wetter weather arrive ing in June, and so I thought we'd briefly look at those thoughts in this morning's Musing. Below is the forecast GFS Ensemble 35-day surface pressure graph for centra England. Notice the red line and see how despite the rise in

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