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MJO says high pressure, but really???

  The CFS MJO forecast is weak right now, not unusual as we enter the summer months. You can see below the forecast passing through phase 4,5 and 6 beforecast spiralling into the central circle which means no discernible guide. So phase 4 is now through to 17th May which is dominated by

5 week ahead weather things to know

1 - Rain spreads in from southwest: heavy rainfall becomes extensive through Monday into Monday night, advancing across England, Wales, much of Ireland and into southwest Scotland. Totals over 24 hours likely 15-25mm for a broad swathe of the country. 2 - Legacy of patchy rain and showers midweek: Remnants of fronts

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