Yesterday afternoon, around 2pm, the satellite imagery of the British Isles showed a beautiful mix of weather features - sometimes we get lucky like that! See the screenshot below from Sat24 (after which I'll describe my colorful scribbles). Blue line - the organized weather front that dragged cloud and rain across

What was absent on the ensemble charts one week ago has now evolved into a named storm; on Monday, storm Floris will track across the northern UK bringing heavy rain and very strong winds to many areas. The image below shows the GFS forecast wind gusts (in knots) for midday