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September analogues still going unsettled

I'll look more at the analogues for autumn and winter (which make VERY interesting viewing) in the coming week or so. For now, here's the pressure analogue for September using the ten most recent similar years back to 1848. See how the low pressure is shown to be south of the UK

Temperatures around normal or warmer?

Hello all, Even though we will see a change in the weather pattern next week, due to the arrival of Ex-Hurricane Erin, that will mess things up in the European weather, temperatures will keep on warm side. Looking at the ECMWF output below for the next two weeks, we can easily see

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