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El Nino – Super?

The latest forecast for this years El Niño event (remember, El Niño is a naturally occurring event) from several models, compiled by the TIR. Dynamic models (bold purple line) go for around +1.7 whilst Dynamic are +1.3. There's a few outliers putting it into a Super El Niño category, but most go

Summer thoughts from multi-model C3S

The latest summer guidance from the C3S is available. This takes several models (listed at the top of the image below) and then shows the mean of them all. The guidance for the months of June, July and August is below and look at the yellow colours. This shows a 40 to

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