One of the charts we will be looking at closely in the coming months is the 10hPa Zonal Wind forecast from ECMWF. This is a measure of the strength of the west-east flow at 60N at the highest levels of the atmosphere. A strong flow tends to keep cold air closer to

An interesting NAO forecast from the CFS via Kyle Macritchie's site. Look how we are positive now (hence stronger westerly winds across the Atlantic), but then see what happens from late November and into December and January. The index goes negative. This is a signal for less strong westerly winds, an easterly