It's odd the see the 6-week from the ECMWF jumping around with temperatures. This is the meteogram for Reading. Look at the top graph which is temperature. The middle of the red bars are where we should look. This graph shows temperature anomaly. See how this week the temperature is 3C below the
Author: Dr. Simon Keeling
Video: Saturday’s Look Ahead – Developing the story for January
Video: Fast Forecast – Saturday to Wednesday
Video: Friday’s Look Ahead – January Update and thoughts on February too
Video: 2 Week Planner (2/1/26)
January 2026 – Weather Guidance
+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JANUARY 2026 - FINAL GUIDANCE ============================= Issued: Wednesday 31st December 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Cool to cold start and later + Milder mid-month + Risk of wintry end FACTORS AFFECTING JANUARY 2026 FINAL GUIDANCE =============================================== + Low pressure
Analogues prove the traditional methods still have their place
It's been a horrible few days in the 'modelsphere'. Jumping back and forth like a Christmas Bunny, the models haven't know what to make of the current situation. The slowing of the hemispheric zonal motion and the soon-to-be three long wave troughs around the northern hemisphere (see below) appears to be causing
Video: Fast Forecast – Sunday to New Year’s Day
Video: Saturday’s Look Ahead – Pondering January chill chance
Santa’s Christmas forecast for flying tonight
The reindeer are prepped and the sleigh is freshly painted, but what of flying from Santa's workshop to the UK tonight? Firstly, it's not actually that cold, Santa has experienced much colder weather in previous years. High pressure is over Scandinavia, but unusually this isn't (yet) bringing very cold weather into