August 2021 – Weather Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - July 30, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2021 - FINAL GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Saturday 31st July 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Improving after mid-month + Unsettled start + Chance of brief hot spell end FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2021 FINAL GUIDANCE ============================================== + Jet stream develops

August 2021 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - July 21, 2021July 20, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Wednesday 21st July 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Better second half + Unsettled start start + May be warmer end FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ==================================================== + Westerly flow develops + More

Hot off the pressure, ECMWF seasonal update for August, September & October

by Dr. Simon Keeling - July 6, 2021July 5, 2021

It's a busy couple of days ahead of the ECMWF model, with the 6-week available today, but also output from the seasonal forecast now filtering through. And it's this seasonal output that I wanted to show you now. It's quite literally hot-off-the-press and I haven't had much time to digest it,

July 2021 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 23, 2021June 22, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JULY 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 23rd June 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Better first half + Unsettled second half + Very low confidence forecast FACTORS AFFECTING JULY 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =============================================== + Slack pressure flows + Dominance

Rest of summer analogues, not the best reading

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 22, 2021June 21, 2021

I spoke about the rest of summer analogues in yesterdays Look Ahead video, but thought that it might be handy to look at these again below. The 200mb chart for July shows the trough west of the British Isles. This affects the whole of the UK and Ireland with rain, most

Video: Wednesday’s Look Ahead – Rain latest PLUS summer outlook from JMA

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 16, 2021

June 2021 – Final Weather Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - May 31, 2021May 29, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JUNE 2021 - FINAL GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Monday 31st May 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A mixed month + Dry and warm middle + Unsettled end FACTORS AFFECTING JUNE 2021 FINAL GUIDANCE =========================================== + Thundery trough may move north

June 2021 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - May 19, 2021May 23, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JUNE 2021 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 19th May 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A mixed month + Brief drier periods + Potential for unsettled end FACTORS AFFECTING JUNE 2021 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ================================================= + Westerly flow dominates + Ridges

Video: Saturday’ Look Ahead – Summer & Autumn Update

by Dr. Simon Keeling - May 8, 2021

by Dr. Simon Keeling - April 28, 2021April 27, 2021

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MAY 2021 - FINAL GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 28th April 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A more mixed month + Close to average temperatures + Still drier in south FACTORS AFFECTING MAY 2021 FINAL GUIDANCE ========================================== + Trough early