Video: February, March & April 2020 Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - January 28, 2020January 27, 2020

Spring, summer, autumn and winter 2020 analogues, what can we expect?

by Dr. Simon Keeling - January 23, 2020January 27, 2020

The analogue forecast for this year have been updated and make for interesting reading. Now, we always need to treat these forecast (as all long range forecasts) carefully, but actually they are usually pretty reliable. It's interesting to take a look at how they are developing things, and below is the 200mb

Video: Winter 2019/20 Forecast Update

by Dr. Simon Keeling - November 28, 2019November 27, 2019

Video: Tuesdays Look Ahead – Winter, Spring & Summer JAMSTEC guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - November 18, 2019

ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to end of December (including Christmas)

by Dr. Simon Keeling - November 13, 2019November 12, 2019

Here's one to believe at your peril! I'm just not convinced that longer range modelling has a really handle on conditions right now. I suspect a combination of factors are at play... Rapidly shortening day length and falling temperatures in north Tropics activating again Recent 6-8 week period of unsettled weather

ECMWF Seasonal Guidance for Winter 2019/20

by Dr. Simon Keeling - November 12, 2019November 11, 2019

The ECMWF seasonal model has just been released taking us through winter 2019/2020. Remember this is not our official forecast, but I do like to show you as many of the seasonal models as I can so that you can see how varied models are. However, it is worth noting that these

ECMWF 46-day outlook into mid-December

by Dr. Simon Keeling - November 6, 2019November 5, 2019

Chilly conditions are going to be the focus of the weather in the coming 6-weeks. Now, treat this guidance extremely cautiously. The medium to long range models have not been performing well over the last few weeks, and so this one may not be much better. But here's what the latest output

Autumn & Winter 2019/20 Very Early Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - September 12, 2019September 12, 2019

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. ++ ++ THIS GUIDANCE MUST BE TREATED WITH EXTREME CAUTION, IT IS SUBJECT TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE ++ SEASONAL GUIDANCE - AUTUMN & WINTER 2019/2020 ===================================================== Issued: Wednesday 11th September 2019 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Probably a

Video: Wednesday Look Ahead – Winter Forecast Options

by Dr. Simon Keeling - September 11, 2019

September 2019 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - August 21, 2019August 20, 2019

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ SEPTEMBER 2019 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Wednesday 21st August 2019 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Unsettled start + Better middle part of month + A mixed final third FACTORS AFFECTING SEPTEMBER 2019 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ========================================= + Higher pressure remains