August 2020 – Preliminary Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - July 23, 2020July 22, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Thursday 23rd July 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Unsettled & cool + Brief fair spells + Perhaps better later FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ==================================================== + Sharp trough bringing rain and

July 2020 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 30, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JULY 2020 - FINAL GUIDANCE ======================== Issued: Tuesday 30th June 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A mixed month + Short-lived weather windows + More unsettled end FACTORS AFFECTING JULY 2020 FINAL GUIDANCE ========================================== + High pressure comes and goes

ECMWF 6-week to the end of July

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 11, 2020June 10, 2020

As we head through the rest of June and into July the longer range models are starting to show a consistent weather story. The latest iteration of the ECMWF 6-week model is now available and here is what it is saying ... 13th June to 19th June High pressure to the northeast of

Summer according to the ECMWF

by Dr. Simon Keeling - June 9, 2020June 8, 2020

In yesterdays Look Ahead I showed the following forecast from the ECMWF seasonal forecast which has just been issued. I thought I'd show the charts again just to reiterate what it shows. I'm showing you this in advance of the JMA model output for the summer which will be available in

June 2020 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - May 27, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JUNE 2020 - FINAL GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Wednesday 27th May 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Dry weather breaks + A more mixed and cooler month is possible + Still much uncertainty FACTORS AFFECTING JUNE 2020 FINAL GUIDANCE =========================================== +

ECMWF 6-Week to early June

by Dr. Simon Keeling - April 22, 2020April 21, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MAY 2020 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Wednesday 22nd April 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Plenty of dry weather + Showery in the east + Fair to the west FACTORS AFFECTING MAY 2020 PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ========================================= + High pressure

Ap[ril 2020 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - March 27, 2020March 27, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ APRIL 2020 - FINAL GUIDANCE =================================== Issued: Friday 27th March 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + A drier than average month + Cool start, then milder later + Mixed early in the month FACTORS AFFECTING APRIL 2020 PRELIMINARY

March 2020 Outlook – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - February 26, 2020February 25, 2020

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MARCH 2020 - FINAL GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Wednesday 26th February 2020 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Improving, a drier month + Drier conditions + More changeable end? FACTORS AFFECTING FEBRUARY 2020 FINAL GUIDANCE ====================================================== + Build of high pressure consistently

Video: February, March & April 2020 Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling - January 28, 2020January 27, 2020

Spring, summer, autumn and winter 2020 analogues, what can we expect?

by Dr. Simon Keeling - January 23, 2020January 27, 2020

The analogue forecast for this year have been updated and make for interesting reading. Now, we always need to treat these forecast (as all long range forecasts) carefully, but actually they are usually pretty reliable. It's interesting to take a look at how they are developing things, and below is the 200mb