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17th July the focus for a change?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

  I've been asked many times in the last few days when the dry and hot weather will end. Firstly, it's still raining in Scotland and will be for a few days, but then Scotland joins the dry and hot party too. For some time the focus has been on the 15th/17th July

Rainfall Outlook Update

by Filotas Paschos -

Hello all, The two ECMWF charts below show the projected rainfall anomalies across the British Isles over the next two weeks, illustrating how precipitation is expected to compare with the seasonal average. Overall, rainfall amounts are forecast to remain below normal across much of the UK and Ireland, largely due to

5 things for the weekend weatherc

by Filotas Paschos -

Weekend Weather at a Glance ☀️ Plenty of sunshine across England and Wales throughout the weekend. 🌤️ Very warm conditions continue, especially in southern and eastern areas. ☁️ Cloudier skies across Scotland and Northern Ireland. 🌦️ Rain mainly confined to northwest Scotland and parts of northwest Ireland. 🌬️ A clear

July 2026 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ JULY 2026 - FINAL GUIDANCE ========================= Issued: Tuesday 30th June 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Fair start + More thundery after mid-month + Very warm with some hot days FACTORS AFFECTING JULY 2026 INITIAL GUIDANCE ============================================ + High pressure

A mixed week ahead as rain returns for some

by Alexi Venerus -

This week brings a more mixed spell of weather, with outbreaks of rain, some brisk winds and sunny spells. Temperatures will also return closer to the seasonal average. One of the main talking points this week will be where the heaviest rain falls. The GFS rainfall accumulation chart below shows

5 Week Ahead Weather Things To Know

by Daniel Graves -

Finally, some fresher air! Well, at least for northern areas - as you'll see, the south of England (and perhaps southern Wales and Ireland as well) may be stuck with some warm high pressure. Nonetheless, here's five notes about the weather forecast for the week ahead. 1 - Week of westerlies: All

Is the heat returning?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

After the churching temperatures of this week, the fresher air most are receiving now has never been more welcome. But there are signs of the heat returning after the coming week is warm on most days. Your can't see that return of heat too clearly on the 15-day from the GFS Ensemble

Rainfall Outlook

by Filotas Paschos -

Hello all, The two ECMWF charts below illustrate the projected rainfall anomalies across the British Isles over the next two weeks, highlighting how precipitation is expected to compare with the long-term average. While several Atlantic weather systems are forecast to track across the northwest of the British Isles during the first

5 things for the weekend weather

by Filotas Paschos -

☀️ Very warm to hot conditions developing across much of England and Wales through Saturday. 🌦️ Showers most frequent across Ireland and Scotland, particularly on Friday and Saturday. 🌤️ Best sunshine expected across central, southern and eastern England, where skies will remain largely clear. 🌬️ A fresher Atlantic airflow arrives on Sunday, bringing

Thunderstorm Risk On Friday

by Daniel Graves -

Friday may well be the grand finale to an extended hot and humid spell that has produced lots of sunshine but also some interesting thunderstorms. I've copied the ECMWF 6-hour rainfall total for 6pm on Friday to highlight when a very lively period of thunderstorms may occur. Through the morning on

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