Hot off the press is the latest from the seasonal forecast model from the ECMWF. So below are the 50mb forecast anomalies in 3-month steps. First is the anomaly for February, Much and April. The red colours show a high probability of higher than average heights, hence higher pressure. You can see

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ WINTER 2021/22 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 25th August 2021 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net OVERVIEW ========== There are mixed messages coming from longer range forecasting models at the present time. Our current thoughts are that despite

I spoke about the rest of summer analogues in yesterdays Look Ahead video, but thought that it might be handy to look at these again below. The 200mb chart for July shows the trough west of the British Isles. This affects the whole of the UK and Ireland with rain, most

S the JMA surface pressure chart is calling for lower than average pressures over the UK and Ireland for summer 2021 (June, July and August). The chart below is the same that I showed in Monday's Look Ahead video and summarised it as summer not looking too great, at least to

We're getting the first sight of the ECMWF seasonal forecast for spring and summer 2020, and I wanted to get some information to you as soon as possible. It seems we have a moderately consistent story from the ECMWF. We still need to do some work on the forecast, but this