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Seasonal Outlook – February & March

Our overall expectations for February have not changed, despite little back-up from climate modelling.
We still suspect that February will be the coldest month of the winter, and may go some way to redressing the balance of the exceptionally mild weather so far.
Note confidence remains low, but our current thoughts are that high pressure will tend to build and increase the risk of frost and fog.
Drier than average with temperatures close to or just below average.

Staying cool into the beginning of March. It may be a fair start to the month. Frosts are likely to be occurring late into the month.
Probably turning more unsettled for the second half of the month with temperatures closer to normal by then.

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