The Day 8 analogues (valid for 12th March) are strongly correlated to 24th February 2000 (see below). Sometimes comparing a forecast situation to previous events can be useful in assessing guidance for the present forecast. In this case, the prediction for 12th March is pretty similar across various models, and so it
Month: March 2016
Video: Fast Forecast – Weekend & Monday
Video: Fridays Look Ahead – Easter more hopeful?
5 Weekend Weather Things to Know
It's the weekend and here are the 5 Weekend Weather Things You Need to Know... 1. It's a cold one, feeling bitterly cold in the east. Some lying snow (see snow depth chart below). 2. Rain, sleet and some outbreaks of snow in eastern England Saturday. 3. Scattered wintry showers elsewhere on Saturday,
Suddenly the MJO wakes up!
I hinted at the change in the MJO predictions in yesterdays Look Ahead video. The ECMWF have just published their latest forecast MJO and that's also doing the rounds of Phases 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 in the next month. But notice how weak it is (centre of the diagram). Compare
All change next week
This weekend will see winter clinging on across the British Isles, with cold northerly winds in charge. 1881
