The Canadian long range CANSIPS model has just been released. This model looks forwards 12-months and is issued monthly on the 1st of every month. The forecast for April keeps below normal heights over the west of the UK and Ireland, and a strong jet just south of Ireland too. This leads

Overnight Thursday into Friday brings the threat of snow across northern and western parts of England and the whole of Wales. Our preferred model solution on this right now is the French Arpege which has been consistent in its output, leading us to lean towards this. Main uncertainty relates to precipitation intensity

The latest edition of the ECMWF 32-day forecast has been published. As you know, I can't show it here (sorry, data licensing won't allow it), but I can describe it to you. From 1st to 7th there's evidence of a trough to the east of the UK, with a strong jet

Okay, so I've ranted on about this in todays Look Ahead But, I wanted to go through those figures again with links so you can check them yourself. CET ( Central England Temperature) series for winter 2015/16 shows the following mean temperatures... Dec 2015 9.7C (link to data) Jan 2016 5.4C (link to data) Feb 2016