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Thursday is focus for change, how much rain?

You'll know we've been warning of the possibility of a change to more unsettled weather later this week. It looks likely that this change takes place on Wednesday across Ireland with some showery rain, this reaching western Scotland in the afternoon (see below). Then it's Thursday when rain passes east through the

Whizzing around the weather on the MJO

The latest MJO just shows how we are about to experience a taste of almost every conceivable spring weather type in the coming 30-days. What's most noticeable is that phases 5, 6 and 7 in April all relate to higher pressure. You can see us hitting Phase 5 around 9th March and

ECMWF46 guidance through April

The ECMWF46 has been updated, and you'll know that I can't show you the graphics here (due to licensing) but I can describe its findings. There's a strong positive NAO element to the longer range ECMWF32 through the rest of March, although a noticeable flip to negative conditions around 8th April.

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