Here are sea surface temperature anomalies as of the beginning of this year...focus on the Atlantic west of the UK, and on the Pacific Ocean too.   Now, here are the latest SST's. Just look at the change around Europe where temperatures have flipped from being above average, to now being below

The last few days have revealed some superb detail in the visible satellite imagery. This picture from midday today shows he low cloud (status) and fog lapping onto the coasts of northeast England and eastern Scotland. See have the Moray Firth is full of cloud. Starts also affecting the west of

As in recent weeks it's the underlying indices of the various models which are most illuminating of the expected patterns in the medium to long term. The CFS 30-day MJO (from Kayle MacRitichie's fabulous data) shows a Catherine Wheel of MJO. See how we rapidly pass through Phase 2 and 3,m entering Phase