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Month: June 2016

Model fluctuations early next week

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Models are in disagreement about how unsettled the early stages of next week may become. This mornings midnight GFS run shows rain into Ireland Tuesday (below), then a trough passing eastwards through the UK bringing the threat of rain and showers. Will keep you updated in the 2-Week Planner video.

ECMWF 46-day guidance to August

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The ECMWF has produced it's latest guidance taking us through July and into the first days of August, and overall it's not pretty! Remember though, this is just one model. Here's what it's going for ... 22nd June to 29th June Ridge to east of the UK with a trough in the west. Leans

Fair Tuesday but rain warning for farmers on Wednesday

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

I know many of you who are farming have been trying to get some silage made through today and tomorrow. But overnight models have been more adventurous with their rain risk for tomorrow (Wednesday) through SW England, Wales, the Midlands and southern England. Here's the prediction for Wednesday afternoon form the GFS...it

Another weather window next week?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The midday ECMWF has been hinting at another run of 3 or 4 dry days next week. Below is the forecast for next Thursday (30th) showing the high ridging through the UK. Weak fronts still troubling northern Scotland, but essentially this is another fair spell from Monday through Thursday, after becoming

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