Here's the latest MJO from the CFS model ...   Notice the weakness of the MJO over the next month. However, it's in definite phases from 1 through 4 between now and Christmas Eve. Phase 1 takes us through lower than average heights of the sort we'll see in the nest 10-days, although

The latest ECMWF46 day model output is now in. As you know, I can't show you the charts, but I can describe what it says. Now, don't shout too loudly about the Christmas period, but it looks....well....erm....'interesting'. 23rd November to 2nd December Sticks with the idea of a ridge over the UK and