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Month: January 2017

January 2017 Forecast – Final update

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ FORECAST FOR JANUARY 2017 - FINAL UPDATE ======================================== Issued: Tuesday 13th January 2016   HEADLINES ========= + Mixed signals persist + Fine line between cold and milder conditions + Generally drier weather prevails, although some unsettled interludes +

You just don’t know do you MJO?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

We've not looked at the MJO recently, with good reason, it doesn't know where to go. Here's the latest CFS forecast for the next 30-days. Note how we are very weakly in phases 6 through 7, but barely enough to warrant any reading of conditions associated with these phases. However, in the

2016 CET comes in top 10% warmest years in 244 year record

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Happy New Year! Now, what about the old one? The Central England Temperature (a temperature series which extends back to 1772) reveals that a CET anomaly of about 0.87C in 2016 ranks the year about 21st warmest in the 244-year record. So it certainly was warm, perhaps even very warm, creeping into the top

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