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March 2026 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MARCH 2026 - FINAL GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Saturday 28th February 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Higher pressure builds + Turning drier + Low confidence FACTORS AFFECTING MARCH 2026 FINAL GUIDANCE ============================================ + Higher than average pressure + Low pressure west of

Drier conditions to come..

by Filotas Paschos -

Good day all, There’s a bit of a quiet player in the charts at the moment — an anticyclone sitting over the continent. Over the coming days it looks set to stretch its influence a little further northwest, at times nudging across the British Isles. Now, I’m not expecting it to properly

5 things for the weekend weather

by Filotas Paschos -

🌦 Changeable start on Saturday – Bright spells for many, but cloud and rain gradually pushing in from the west 🌧 Wettest conditions in the west – More persistent rain affecting Ireland at times 🌬 Increasing breeze on Sunday – A windier feel as Atlantic fronts move through ☁

Saturday Morning Frost In The North and Ireland

by Daniel Graves -

Some windows of more settled weather are on their way as pressure begins to slowly but surely rise. Our first window unfortunately will occur while most of us are asleep, Friday night into Saturday morning. A high pressure ridge passes east across the Isles overnight, clearing the skies and brining a

ECMWF 6-Week Outlook

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Spring is but a few days away, so what's the 6-week model form the ECMWF looking like? Is spring sprung? Well, it certainly looks better. Remember this is only one model, but it is good to see high pressure in the forecast. Here we go ... Monday 2nd to Sunday 8th March Low pressure

More on the CFS and the signals from the NAO

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Now, I mentioned the CFS and how it is the stand-out model at the moment for not seeing a high pressure building...at least not strongly. Its interesting to look at more CFS data, notably the NAO below. See how the NAO is slipping negative from 6th March to early April which is

5 week ahead weather things to know

by Garry Nicholson -

After a lot of grey wintry gloom, this week will give a first real sense of spring in the air... 1 - Very mild southerlies: A waft of air from Spain and north Africa Tuesday-Wednesday will push temperatures well into the teens, highs of 16 or 17C in the east of

Is an improvement really happening? Really????

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Well, there are signs of the weather changing. The winds have already shifted to more of a southwesterly, and this process continues during the week ahead with the potential for some very warm weather mid-week. But what about the week after? Well, look at the top of the graphs below. This is surface

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