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A cold shower anyone?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

If you had showers today (Monday) you can't help to have been struck by how cold the air felt during the showers. This is explained looking at the back trajectories of where the air over us has come from. The charts below fro Wetter3 shower air at three different levels; 950hPa (around

Tricky NAO

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

It's the time of year we can start looking at the North Atlantic Oscillation again, but this forecast isn't helping at all. The CFS outlook to early December is below and you can see how is runs generally along the neutral index. There are some minor upas and downs but it is

Rainfall Anomally Maps

by Filotas Paschos -

Good day! Below I am attaching two European maps showing the anomally of the rainfall for the next two weeks. It is obvious that the next couple of weeks the weather conditions will remain fairly unsettled with further showers and longer spells of rain. For both weeks the majority of the rain

5 things for the weekend

by Filotas Paschos -

  🌦 Expect a mix of showers and brighter spells throughout the weekend. 💨 Windy conditions likely, especially in western and exposed areas. 🌤 Eastern regions should feel milder and drier, with some sunny breaks. 🌧 Western areas may feel cooler, damp, and blustery, with heavier rain at times. 🌡

Soils Still Dry, But Recovery May Be On The Way

by Daniel Graves -

Rain has returned - has the soil moisture? Here's the most recent map from the COSMOS network: The beige colors in the south and east indicate dry soils, the red colors around the Midlands indicate very dry soils, while the green and blue colors indicate higher moisture content. Still plenty of

ECMWF Outlook to mid-October

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

Daylight is fading fast and at last we have some rain...welcome to autumn! The ECMWF 6-Week now takes us into the middle of October and here's what the latest guidance is suggesting... 8th September to 14th September Low pressure northwest of Scotland. Weak ridge high pressure to the southeast. Drier southeast, becoming warm or very

Higher pressure after mid-month but not for long?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

The medium term forecasts are al suggesting a build in pressure in the middle of September, although unsettled until then. It is interesting to see the CFS now coming back on-board with the idea of higher pressure, but it is short lived.Below is the rain forecast for Week 4, ending 28th

5 Week Ahead Weather Things To Know

by Daniel Graves -

I could sum up the week ahead with one word: unsettled. Here's a few more notes to prepare you for the week ahead! 1 - Monday showers: Showers will be increasingly widespread on Monday and quite persistent in western Ireland and Scotland. A risk of local thunderstorms in eastern areas. 2 -

September 2025 – Final Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ SEPTEMBER 2025 - FINAL GUIDANCE =============================== Issued: Sunday 31st August 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + An unsettled, cooler start + Drier from mid month + Warm, dry later in month FACTORS AFFECTING SEPTEMBER 2025 FINAL GUIDANCE ================================================ + Early

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