A breakdown of settled conditions looks to be arriving in approximately one week - the cause being the north and western progress of Hurricane Erin into an extratropical cyclone that will shuffle up our weather. What kind of rainfall might this bring? See below for the accumulated rainfall forecast through Thursday,

One of my favorite parts about being a meteorologist is perusing satellite imagery for clues about the current state of the atmosphere. This morning's satellite image had some impressive features: see the image below from sat24.com. Notice the interesting cloud in northeast England and east Scotland - almost looks like arms

While not widespread and dense, the skies above many have had a lingering haze the past few days. Three key elements are in play that give us hazy conditions: a haze source, an atmosphere that traps haze near the surface, and little wind or rain to "wash" the haze out

While we're certainly not out of the heat yet, the hottest temperatures have likely passed, and it looks like they came on August 12 (according to observations available on Ogimet.com). As anticipated, the south of England showed the warmest temperatures with six stations recording temperatures above 33C on August 12,

Last Friday, I recorded a Look Ahead video for the ECMWF 6-Week Outlook. At the end, I showed the "weather regime" chart which outlines the general synoptic pattern we can expect over the British Isles for the coming six weeks. At that time, the NAO+ regime (typically associated with stronger

We've not been able to provide great certainty on the risk of thunderstorms this coming week - slack pressure and poorly-defined weather features makes this job quite challenging. However, we can take a look at the Convective Available Potential Energy (or "CAPE") charts to hone in on this probability. Below