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A Warm Start To October?

by Daniel Graves -

It's always a dangerous game talking about the weather from 6 weeks out, but I can't help but be excited by this one. Below, I've pasted the ECMWF week-average forecast wind field for 5th October to 12th October. These are the winds at 850hPa, or approximately at the height of

August Rain Round-Up

by Daniel Graves -

How did August rainfall stack up against the historical average? Certainly more rain than July, but we're still below average in many places. The image below is the percent of average rainfall chart for August, relative to the August average for 1991-2020: Certainly better than July (where in parts of England, no

Rainfall totals this week

by Alexi Venerus -

Welcome to the start of meteorological autumn! It certainly feels like it across the country as we've recently moved into a more seasonal pattern. This week will remain changeable, bringing a mixture of rain and showers, along with some dry days and sunny spells. However, it's the rain that many of

September 2026 – Weather Guidance

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ SEPTEMBER 2026 - WEATHER GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Sunday 30th August 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Mixed to start, mainly north + Warmer south and east + Cooler for all from mid month, few showers FACTORS AFFECTING SEPTEMBER

Greece Trapped in a Cycle of Heat, Humidity and Drought

by Filotas Paschos -

While our main focus is usually on the weather across the UK and Ireland, it is worth looking further southeast, where a very different and increasingly concerning weather story is unfolding. Greece remains locked into a prolonged period of heat, high humidity and exceptionally dry conditions. Temperatures continue to remain above

5 things for the weekend

by Filotas Paschos -

🌦️ Low pressure will keep the weekend changeable, with a mixture of rain, showers and occasional brighter intervals. 🌧️ Saturday will see a band of rain spreading northeastwards across Ireland and the UK, becoming heavy in places. 💨 Winds will strengthen at times, particularly around southern and western coasts and over exposed

You want rain? You got rain coming

by Alexi Venerus -

The next four days look wet, and very wet for some. With multiple areas of low pressure moving in across the UK and Ireland over the coming days there will be places seeing particularly high volumes of rainfall whether it is in the form of persistent frontal rain and/or localised

Rainfall totals increase while temperature decreases

by Alexi Venerus -

We are now moving into a more unsettled phase, which looks likely to continue over the next few weeks. Rainfall totals are expected to increase for most areas towards the end of this week, while temperatures will gradually ease back towards more average levels for this time of year. The latest

Time to go back to the NAO

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

  The summer months tend not to be the best for using the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) as a prediction tool for the coming weeks. However, as we enter late August and into the autumn months it starts to become useful again. Below is the NAO forecast from the CFSand it shows a

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