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ECMWF 6-Week Outlook to mid-September

And so summer is nearly over, at least as far as the 6-week outlook is concerned. Big question is about when it rains, how much and does water weather last. The latest ECMWF 6-week outlook below doesn't offer a huge amount of comfort, but read on for any scraps you can get! 10th

5 Week Ahead Weather Things To Know

A welcome change is on us as high pressure breaks down. Here's 5 details to help you along for the week of weather ahead: 1 - Showery: Throughout the week, varied showers will affect most areas, with the most frequent and heavy showers across Ireland, Scotland, and northern England. Showers most scattered

Rainfall Totals Next Week

Lot's of talk about some rain and showers next week - what kind of totals can we expect? Here's the GFS operational model forecast of accumulated rainfall for 6am this coming Thursday: The frontal rain is clearly visibility across Ireland and Scotland with totals fairly widely of at least to 10-20mm,

Dry July… Like, Really Dry

Let's just jump right into it. Here's the percent of average rainfall for a selection of weather stations across the British Isles as of 6am on the 31st of July (the most up-to-date data available as of the time of writing): Except for Carlisle, no stations represented in England and Wales

5 Weekend Weather Things To Know

Happy Friday everyone, I hope all is well today! Here's 5 key points about the weather for the coming weekend: 1 - Friday showers: Ireland, northern England, and Scotland will see showers for most of Friday, which may be quite frequent with heavy bursts in Scotland in the afternoon. Some early showers

August 2026 – Final Guidance

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2026 - FINAL GUIDANCE ============================ Issued: Friday 31st July 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Mixed first half of the month + Generally warmer than average, particularly England + Northerly flow later month brings milder temperatures,

Latest rainfall August outlook

The latest ECMWF longer range outlook came out today and it's not too dissimilar to what we looked at back on Friday. Currently August is looking overall drier than average though the first week currently has the best chance of seeing any substantial rainfall. See the chart on the below

Rain…but only further north

There will be some rain about today, but only in the north. See below the latest from the GFS model on it's predictions of total accumulations of rainfall from overnight last night through to this coming evening. Western Scotland will see some persistent and heavy rainfall at times with accumulations

How Dry Has July Been?

In anticipation of the rain this weekend, I took a screenshot of the total rainfall across the UK for the month of July as of noon on the 24th (data from University of Reading). See below: Much of central and southern England has seen no rain this July. Literally none. Amazing!

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