Our overall expectations for February have not changed, despite little back-up from climate modelling.
We still suspect that February will be the coldest month of the winter, and may go some way to redressing the balance of the exceptionally mild weather so far.
Note confidence remains low, but our current thoughts are
After a stormy start to 2016, and wet one too, the overall trend from mid-month is towards cooler weather.
Details are sketchy right now, but thoughts are that there could be a tendency to near or below average temperatures, with wintry weather in the north and east, perhaps frostier and drier