Its a question that gets asked time and time again, "Can I really trust a long range forecast when it seems that weathermen can't predict what's happening in 2-hours time?". Well, it's a tricky one I must admit! Yes, there are times when the forecast a few minutes ahead can be

You know that due to licensing issues I can't show you the latest output from the ECMWF 46-day forecast in chart form, but I can describe it too you. So here we go. 18th-25th April Higher than average heights overall (that's this weeks higher pressure to the week). Trough west of Iberia and

A frosty one tonight for many of us. Temperatures at or just above freezing across much of central and northern England, Wales, Ireland and Scotland. Only the beefy in the far southwest holding temperatures up here, and perhaps hovering a little above freezing on the ground in East Anglia and parts of

This afternoon (Tuesday) and Wednesday are the best days of the week for the UK as a whole. Heres the forecast satellite picture for Wednesday afternoon, notice the amount of sunshine across most areas, although some thicker cloud in Scotland. Thursday brings rain into the south of England in the afternoon.

Take a look at the NAO forecast from the MJO below... Notice how the NAO stays negative through the end of April into early May, indicating a weakening of the usual westerly flow, and perhaps confirming the blocking of that pattern well into the new month. Add to that the negative AO