One of the features of an SSW event is a temperature dipole. See on this map how the nearer average (white) temperatures extend through northwest Europe, across the pole and into the Pacific? That's the dipole!

Whether it's bonfire not or fireworks for you, it's not a bad one across the British Isles tonight. There will be some showers over western and southern coasts and hills, but away from these areas skies and clearer and it should be drier. Chilly in the breezy with temperatures this evening around

A quick update on the stratospheric warming event forecast by the ECMWF towards the end of November and early December. I'll talk more about it in today's Look Ahead, but it's still there on the ECMWF 6-week forecast (see below). It has got a little weaker on the latest runs, and with