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Regime Change In Early May

by Daniel Graves -

Forecasting weather in the spring has proved to be a surprising challenge. Small changes in wind direction and pressure regimes can have major impacts on the type of weather we receive. Few seasons can see such extreme swings in weather as spring. And our near-term forecasts suggest we'll be seeing

May 2026 – Initial Guidance

by Daniel Graves -

+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ MAY 2026 - INITIAL WEATHER GUIDANCE ==================================== Issued: Wednesday 22nd April 2026 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Settled early month, dawn mist + Brief unsettled spell, then average + Mild to warm FACTORS AFFECTING MAY 2026 INITIAL GUIDANCE ============================================ +

Scorchio, Japanese style…

by Garry Nicholson -

The Japanese Meteorological Agency has introduced a new term for days which exceed 40C - the word 'kokushobi', which translates as 'cruelly hot'. This was chosen after a public poll, to follow similar terms to refer to days of over 25C, 30C and 35C in Japan. We don't have quite such formulated

Drier conditions for the next 2 weeks

by Filotas Paschos -

Good day all, The broader picture through the coming couple of weeks points towards a rather quiet and controlled weather regime. High pressure continues to hold firm  helping to keep things largely settled. Meanwhile, the Atlantic remains relatively subdued, with no strong or persistent storm systems making significant inroads from the west.

5 things for the weekend

by Filotas Paschos -

🌦️ Mixed conditions overall, with cloud and rain mainly in the north on Saturday 🌤️ Brighter and more settled further south, especially through Saturday afternoon ☀️ Sunday brings a largely dry and sunny day for most areas 🌬️ A light breeze at times, but generally pleasant spring conditions 🌈

Spring May Stay On The Chillier Side

by Daniel Graves -

Below is the 35-day GFS ensemble temperature forecast for Birmingham. What stands out most clearly is the almost non-existent rise in temperatures from now until mid-May; have a look: There's a surprising amount of information we can glean from this chart, with just a little extra context. The main feature to

Temperatures may go cooler week after next?

by Dr. Simon Keeling -

I've been looking at the soil and air temperatures in the next couple of weeks. Higher pressure is shown as building with an east to northeast wind setting in. This drags even more moisture from the soil but also has an impact on air temperatures. The 15-day temperature chart shows the falling

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