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Rising pressure? Yes or maybe?

Top chart here is important. Notice most of the models go with rising pressure early to mid next week, Canadian being most bullish. Rainfall remains low. Looks like the high is going to be in and so drier weather now being baked in, but temperatures looking on the cool side as northeasterly sets

Confused signals for May (and the summer)

There are some confusing signals for the end of the month of April and the start of May. Below are the 500mb anomaly forecast from the CFS for the final week of April and the first week of May. Notice the orange colours over the UK and Ireland? They both indicate higher

5 things for the weekend

🌦️ A rather unsettled weekend with spells of rain at times, especially early on Saturday. 🌧️ Rain gradually clears eastwards through Saturday, leaving a mix of sunshine and showers. 🌤️ Brighter intervals developing later Saturday as conditions become more showery. 🌦️ Sunday starts largely dry and bright for many

Rainfall levels for next 2 weeks

Good day all, Looking ahead to the next couple of weeks, the overall weather pattern appears fairly settled. High pressure is expected to remain dominant across the European continent, occasionally extending into the eastern parts of the British Isles. At the same time, the Atlantic does not look vert active, with

5 Week Ahead Weather Things to Know

Happy Monday everyone! I hope you had a good Easter and were able to take some restful time off! Here's five notes to set you up for the week ahead: 1 - Often sunny south and east: High pressure east of the UK will provide plenty of sunshine well into the week.

Evidence builds for summer from weak NAO

Here's an interesting one. The NAO form the CFS through to nearly July shows a trend towards the neutral/weakly negative. This indicates weaker westerly winds across the Atlantic Ocean. Now, given that the analogues hint at higher pressure north of the British isles in May, June and early July, this would be

Weather Confidence Levels

Taking a look at the ensemble pressure graph below, we can get a pretty good feel for how confident the forecast is over the coming days. In the short term, the signals are quite tightly clustered, which usually indicates that the models are in good agreement about the overall weather

5 things for the weekend

🌦️ Unsettled start to the weekend – Frequent showers on Friday with a brisk feel, especially across northern and western areas.🌧️ Rain spreading east on Saturday – A wetter day overall, with persistent rain in the north and heavier bursts pushing east later.❄️ Wintry conditions in the far north –

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