Happy August! Here we go with the first weekend of the final month of summer. Is it just me or does it feel like we are about 3-weeks ahead of usual weather-wise? Their are signs of autumn out there, one of them being the area of low pressure crossing Scotland on
Musings
August 2025 – Final Guidance
+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2025 - FINAL GUIDANCE =========================== Issued: Wednesday 30th July 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Mixed start + Becoming drier and warmer + Thundery showers south + Warm, potentially very warm some days FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2025 FINAL
Sea Surface Temperatures
The chart below, from Meteociel.fr, shows the current modeled sea temperatures around the British Isles. Relative to historical climate, most waters are slightly warmer than usual, though locally near average. The English Channel and the North Sea are exceptions, both of which are warmer than normal, notably the North Sea. We'll be
5 Weather Notes For The Week Ahead
Happy Monday all! Here's some notes about the weather for your week ahead: 1 - West-northwesterly winds dominate: Expect cloudy and occasionally drizzly west coasts as westerly winds persist much of the week. 2 - Showery rain: Several spells of showery rain will drift across the Isles, notably Monday night into Tuesday
Rainfall Anomally
Good day all, Regarding the weather outlook, the models are suggesting that even if we will see plenty of showers the next few weeks, the rainfall totals will be less than normal for all the next three weeks. The below graphs are coming from ECMWF weather model (https://charts.ecmwf.int/) Thakn you Filotas
5 things for the weekend
🌦 Mixed conditions – Showery in the west and northwest, while eastern and southern regions stay mostly dry and sunny. ⛅ Best weather in the southeast, with longer sunny spells and only isolated showers. 🌧 Heavier rain expected at times over northwest Scotland and northern Ireland, especially later Saturday.
August 2025 – Preliminary Guidance
+++ THIS FORECAST IS FOR PRIVATE CLIENTS ONLY AND MAY NOT BE DISTRIBUTED OR COPIED IN ANY WAY WITHOUT PRIOR PERMISSION. +++ AUGUST 2025 - PRELIMINARY GUIDANCE ================================== Issued: Wednesday 23rd July 2025 Contact: simon@weatherweb.net HEADLINES ========== + Lots of dry weather + Best sun in west + Showers east + Warm, potentially very warm later FACTORS AFFECTING AUGUST 2025 PRELIMINARY
Clues from clouds on summer mornings
5 week ahead weather things to know
Thoughts On Trends Through The End Of July
After this weekend's unsettled weather, what can we expect through July and into August? I've clipped out the box-and-whisker plot summarizing the ECMWF ensemble results for pressure over the British Isles, which I've pasted below (from Meteociel.fr). A quick orientation: the black line is the control run (one model), the








