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Cold winter signals strengthened by analogues

You'll know by now that winter forecasts are leaning towards conditions being colder than average. Most major models are leaning towards this idea, with pressure being higher than average across the northern North Atlantic. So it's interesting to see that the latest analogue forecast are also backing up this idea. Here's the forecast

ECMWF 6-Week to early October

As we wave goodbye to summer (well nearly, that's on 31st August) the ECMWF has issued it's latest guidance forecast which covers September through to early October. Remember this is just one model, but it is reliable. Details below ... 29th August to 4th September Trough to the east. Weak ridge building to the

Any more Francis’ this week?

As Storm Francis hits the UK and Ireland today bringing gusts of over 80mph, many of you are asking if, having seen the impact of Storm Ellen last week, there are more storms ahead? The good news and simple answer is that Francis is likely to be the last storm of